Inference in Bayesian Proxy-SVARs

Motivated by the increasing use of external instruments to identify structural vector autoregressions (SVARs), we develop algorithms for exact finite sample inference in this class of time series models, commonly known as proxy-SVARs. Our algorithms make independent draws from the normal-generalizednormal family of conjugate posterior distributions over the structural parameterization of a proxy-SVAR. Importantly, our techniques can handle the case of set identification and hence they can be used to relax the additional exclusion restrictions unrelated to the external instruments often imposed to facilitate inference when more than one instrument is used to identify more than one equation as in Mertens and Montiel-Olea (2018).

Date et heure: 
Lundi 25 mars 2019, 16:30
Organisation: 
Banque nationale de Belgique, CES-KU Leuven, ECARES-ULB et UCL
Orateur(s): 
Juan Rubio-Ramirez
Lieu: 
Auditorium de la Banque nationale de Belgique, rue Montagne aux Herbes potagères 61, Bruxelles - Salle A1
Prix d'inscription: 
gratuit