Unconventional Monetary Policy and Local Fiscal Policy

For the first time, following the pandemic, the Federal Reserve employed an unconventional monetary policy that directly intervened in municipal bond markets. We characterize the fiscal and macroeconomic implications of such central bank actions in a New Keynesian model of a monetary union. We assume that state and local governments are subject to a loan-in-advance constraint to capture the observation that with lumpy cash flows, they often finance a fraction of expenditures by issuing short-term bonds. This municipal debt is held by financial intermediaries, who also supply credit to the private sector. Direct central bank purchases can transmit through the economy through two main channels: 1) by alleviating cash-flow problems of the regional governments and 2) by accelerating lending in the economy if credit constraints ease more broadly. We quantify the importance of these channels and show the unconventional policy's transmission is markedly different from direct federal government aid through intergovernmental transfers. Importantly, the central bank's action leads to more sizeable increases in private investment but has a more muted impact on state and local government expenditures.

Date et heure: 
Mardi 04 octobre 2022, 16:30 - 18:00
National Bank of Belgium, KU Leuven, UAntwerpen, UCLouvain, UGent, ULB, ULiège, UNamur and VUB
Huixin Bi (Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City)
Auditorium of the National Bank of Belgium (Room A1), rue Montagne aux Herbes potagères 61, Brussels
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