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A generalised dynamic factor model for the Belgian economy - Useful business cycle indicators and GDP growth forecasts

Working Paper N° 80

Do survey indicators let us see the business cycle? A frequency decomposition

Working Paper N° 131

Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets - A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise

Working Paper N° 133

Belgium’s inward and outward foreign direct investment

What impact is foreign investment by multinationals having in Belgium?

The National Bank of Belgium, Economics and Research Department's new business survey indicator

Interactions between monetary and macroprudential policy

The financial crisis has led to the adoption of macroprudential policies – also in Belgium - which do interact with monetary policy. This article deals with the interactions and possible conflicts between these two policy domains. We illustrate this by an assessment of the current situation. Although beneficial for macroeconomic and hence financial stability, the impact on financial risk taking of the unprecedented monetary easing requires close monitoring.

Macroeconomic determinants of non-performing loans

On the influence of the macroeconomic environment and structural variables such as the characteristics of the loans and the banks on the default probability of mortgages in Belgium.

Size and dynamics of debt positions in Belgium and in the euro area

Financial integration and fragmentation in the euro area

The impact of low interest rates on household financial behaviour