The Geographic Implications of Carbon Taxes

Abstract

A unilateral carbon tax trades off the distortionary costs of taxation and the future gains from slowing down global warming. Because the cost is local and immediate, whereas the benefit is global and delayed, this tradeoff tends to be unfavorable to unilateral carbon taxes. We show that this logic breaks down in a world with trade and migration where economic geography is shaped by agglomeration economies and congestion forces. Using a multisector dynamic spatial integrated assessment model (S-IAM), this paper predicts that a carbon tax introduced by the European Union (EU) and rebated locally can, if not too large, increase the size of Europe’s economy by concentrating economic activity in its high-productivity non-agricultural core and by incentivizing immigration to the EU. The resulting change in the spatial distribution of economic activity improves global efficiency and welfare. Other forms of rebating can dilute or revert this positive effect.

Datum und Uhrzeit: 
Donnerstag 22 September 2022, 16:30 - 18:00
Organisation: 
National Bank of Belgium, KU Leuven, UAntwerpen, UCLouvain, UGent, ULB, ULiège, VUB and UNamur
Redner: 
Klaus Desmet
Ort: 
Auditorium of the National Bank of Belgium, rue Montagne aux Herbes potagères 61, Brussels. Room A1
Eintritt: 
gratis