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   Summary tabel of forecasts
 
     2014    2013    2012    2011    2010    2009












REAL GDP (calendar adjusted data, except for forecasts EC and BPN )1            
  Belgium
           
  Final private consumption
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 0.0 -0.7 0.8 1.4 -1.7
  forecast EC
1.2 0.0 -0.6 1.2 1.4 -1.0
  forecast OECD
1.2 0.4 -0.6 1.0 1.5 -1.7
  Final public consumption
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 1.5 0.1 1.1 1.1 1.6
  forecast EC
0.7 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.8
  forecast OECD
0.9 1.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7
  Gross fixed capital formation
           
  forecast NBB1
n. -1.3 -0.4 4.9 -1.8 -4.2
  forecast EC
1.6 -1.6 -0.3 5.7 -1.1 -4.0
  forecast OECD
2.3 0.3 0.1 4.6 -1.7 -3.8
  Domestic demand (including changes in stocks)
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 0.0 -0.7 2.1 0.1 -3.0
  forecast EC
1.1 -0.4 -0.5 2.1 1.0 -2.0
  forecast OECD
1.3 0.5 -0.4 2.2 1.5 -2.3
  Exports of goods and services
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 0.6 0.7 5.1 10.0 -12.6
  forecast EC
3.3 0.8 0.8 5.1 9.6 -15.7
  forecast OECD
4.9 2.0 0.1 6.1 10.1 -12.7
  Imports of goods and services
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 0.4 0.2 5.5 7.7 -12.8
  forecast EC
3.3 0.2 0.3 5.2 8.5 -14.8
  forecast OECD
4.7 1.9 -0.1 6.5 9.1 -12.0
  GDP
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 0.0 -0.2 1.9 2.0 -3.0
  forecast EC
1.2 0.0 -0.2 2.2 2.0 -2.9
  forecast OECD
1.6 0.5 -0.1 2.0 2.1 -3.1
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
1.2 0.3 -0.1 1.9 2.1 -3.0
  International comparison of GDP
           
  Euro area2
           
  forecast ECB
0.0-2.0 -0.9--0.1 -0.6--0.4 1.5 1.7 -4.0
  forecast EC
1.2 -0.4 -0.6 1.5 1.7 -4.0
  forecast OECD
1.3 -0.1 -0.4 1.6 1.7 -4.0
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
0.9 -0.2 -0.4 1.6 1.6 -4.1
  EU-27
           
  forecast EC
1.4 -0.1 -0.3 1.6 1.8 -4.1
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. n.
CONSUMER PRICES            
  Belgium
           
  HICP
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 1.6 2.6 3.5 2.3 0.0
  forecast EC
1.6 1.3 2.6 3.5 2.3 0.0
  forecast OECD
1.6 1.8 2.6 3.4 2.1 -0.1
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
1.7 1.5 2.6 3.5 2.3 0.0
  National general index
           
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. 2.2 -0.1
  National health index
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 1.7 2.7 3.1 1.7 0.6
  International comparison of HICP
           
  Euro area2
           
  forecast ECB
0.6-2.0 1.2-2.0 2.5 2.7 1.6 0.3
  forecast EC
1.5 1.6 2.5 2.6 1.5 0.3
  forecast OECD
1.2 1.6 2.4 2.6 1.5 0.2
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
1.6 1.8 2.5 2.7 1.6 0.3
  EU-27
           
  forecast EC
1.7 1.8 2.6 3.0 2.0 1.0
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. n.
LABOUR COSTS IN THE PRIVATE SECTOR            
  Belgium
           
  Labour costs per hour worked
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 2.0 3.2 2.7 0.6 3.4
  forecast EC
n. n. n. n. n. n.
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. n.
  Unit labour costs
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 1.8 3.8 2.5 -0.2 4.6
  forecast EC
0.5 2.4 3.8 2.0 -0.1 2.8
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. 4.7 3.8
  International comparison
           
  Labour costs per hour worked (according to CCE)
           
  Belgium
           
  forecast NBB1
n. n. n. n. n. n.
  forecast OECD
n. n. 2.9 3.4 1.0 2.5
  Three main neighbouring countries (FR,DE,NL)
           
  forecast NBB1
n. n. n. n. n. n.
  forecast OECD
n. n. 2.4 3.0 1.7 2.2
  Unit labour costs
           
  Euro area2
           
  forecast EC (for the whole economy)
0.8 1.4 1.3 1.0 -0.6 3.4
  forecast OECD
0.5 1.1 1.2 n. -0.7 3.8
  EU-27
           
  forecast EC (for the whole economy)
1.1 1.6 1.8 1.3 -0.4 3.6
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. n.
LABOUR MARKET            
  Belgium
           
  Total employment
           
  forecast NBB1
n. -0.3 0.2 1.2 0.6 -0.4
  forecast EC
0.6 0.1 0.2 1.2 0.4 -0.8
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. -0.6
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
0.5 -0.1 0.2 1.2 0.6 -0.5
  Unemployment
           
  forecast NBB1
n. n. 2.5 -3.7 2.3 10.1
  forecast EC
0.6 5.9 3.5 -8.1 10.1 17.7
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. 13.9
  Total employment (annual changes in thousands)
           
  forecast NBB1
n. -14.9 6.5 55.8 28.1 -16.4
  forecast EC
28.3 5.3 9.0 53.7 14.8 -37.4
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. -26.1
  Unemployment (annual changes in thousands)
           
  forecast NBB1
n. n. 13.8 -20.7 12.6 50.4
  forecast EC
2.3 21.6 12.0 -32.7 38.4 59.0
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. 47.5
  Harmonised unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted, annual averages in percentages of labour force)
           
  Belgium
           
  forecast NBB1
n. 8.1 7.4 7.3 8.4 7.9
  forecast EC
8.0 8.0 7.3 7.6 8.6 8.2
  forecast OECD
7.7 7.7 7.4 7.0 8.6 7.9
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
7.7 7.8 7.5 7.3 8.5  
  Euro area2
           
  forecast EC
12.1 12.2 11.4 10.0 10.1 9.5
  forecast OECD
12.0 11.9 11.1 9.9 9.9 9.4
  EU-27
           
  forecast EC
11.1 11.1 10.5 9.7 9.6 9.1
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. n.
GENERAL GOVERNMENT (EDP definition except forecasts OECD, in percentages of GDP)            
  Belgium
           
  Primary balance
           
  forecast NBB1
n. n. 0.5 -0.7 -1.2 -2.3
  forecast EC
0.1 0.3 0.5 -0.3 -1.3 -2.0
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. -2.1
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
n. n. n. -0.7 -0.8 -2.3
  Overall balance
           
  forecast NBB1
n. n. -3.0 -4.0 -4.6 -6.0
  forecast EC
-3.1 -2.9 -3.0 -3.6 -4.8 -5.9
  forecast OECD
-1.7 -2.3 -2.8 -3.5 -4.9 -5.7
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
-1.8 -2.4 -3.0 -4.0 -4.6 -6.0
  Gross debt
           
  forecast NBB1
n. n. 99.6 98.6 97.5 96.8
  forecast EC
102.1 101.4 99.8 97.2 98.6 97.2
  forecast OECD
97.7 98.7 99.0 96.3 100.7 97.6
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
98.8 99.8 99.9 98.6 97.7 97.8
  International comparison of overall balance
           
  Euro area2
           
  forecast EC
-2.8 -2.9 -3.5 -4.1 -6.3 -6.4
  forecast OECD
-2.6 -2.8 -3.3 -4.0 -6.3 -6.1
  EU-27
           
  forecast EC
-3.2 -3.4 -3.8 -4.7 -6.8 -6.9
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. n.
CURRENT ACCOUNT (in percentages of GDP)            
  Belgium
           
  forecast NBB1
n. -0.9 -0.6 0.2 1.5 0.5
  forecast EC
1.4 1.4 1.5 2.4 1.7 0.6
  forecast OECD
-1.3 -1.4 -1.3 -0.5 1.0 -0.8
  forecast BPN (Belgian Prime News)
-0.3 -0.5 -0.3 0.2 n. -0.1
  Euro area2
           
  forecast EC
2.7 2.5 1.5 -0.1 -0.5 -0.7
  forecast OECD
2.2 1.9 1.4 0.1 -0.2 -0.6
  EU-27
           
  forecast EC
1.9 1.6 0.7 -0.3 -0.5 -0.7
  forecast OECD
n. n. n. n. n. n.

1 This forecast from the NBB dates from February 2013 (Annual report) for the year 2012 and December 2012 (Economic Review) for the year 2013 (next update June 2013). Users should be aware that estimates of this kind can sometimes be out of date owing to changes in the information available. The older the estimates, the greater this risk becomes. Publication of the estimate on this website therefore simply means that it is the latest estimate released by the NBB.
2 Euro area = EA-17, except the OECD forecasts
 
Sources : NBB, OECD, EC, ECB


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