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State space forms

Definition

While the general linear gaussian state-space model can be written in many different ways, we use a very simple presentation that encompasses most of the usual model. Apart from the disturbance term(s) in the measurement equation - we simply add them to the state vector - , it mainly follows the approach of Durbin and Koopman ([1], 2001).

Measurement equation:

State equation:

with

 is the m observations at period t,  is the r x 1 state vector. The  are assumed to be serially independent at all time points. They will often be modelised as 

where  is a vector of e x 1 residuals (0 < e ≤ r),  is a e x e covariance matrix,  is a k x e matrix (weights of the disturbances) and  is a r x k matrix composed of columns of , that identifies the items of the state vector modified by the residuals.

  (Diffuse) Initialisation

 The initial conditions of the filter are defined as follows: 

where  is arbitrary large [1].

 is the variance of the stationary elements of the initial state vector and  models the diffuse part. Both matrices are r x r [2]. We also suppose that the rank of   is d.


 

[1] The  factor is absorbed in

[2] We do not require that diffuse/non diffuse elements reside in separate items of the initial state vector, but we must be able to split them in independent parts.

 

Bibliography

[1] Durbin J. and Koopman S.J. (2001), "Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods". Oxford University Press.